Showing posts with label 2024 Campaign. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2024 Campaign. Show all posts

Friday, November 08, 2024

The Political Desk: Final Edition

 I usually wait for a few days for the dust to settle, but the vote margins most of these races are pretty decisive. Let's take a look

Yes to Initiative Measure No. 2066 - Protect the natural gas industry This is tight, and usually late ballots skew to the left. However, it has been pretty stable for the past few days. 

NO to Initiative Measure No. 2109 - Repeal the capital gains tax.

NO to Initiative Measure No. 2117 - Destroying carbon tax credits.

NO to Initiative Measure No 2124 - Bankrupt the state-run long-term care insurance.

President - Donny Trump and JD Vance. Hey, color me surprised.  For what its worth, Washington State generally pummeled the heck outta the GOP - it looks like none of his minions got close to the levers of power on this side of the state.

US Senator - Maria Cantwell

US Representative Congressional District No. 9 - Adam Smith

Governor - Bob Ferguson

Lieutenant Governor - Denny Heck

Secretary of State - Steve Hobbs

State Treasurer - Mike Pellicciotti

Attorney General - Nick Brown

Commissioner of Public Lands - Dave Upthegrove

Superintendent of Public Instruction - Chris Reykdal

Insurance Commissioner - Patty Kuderer

Legislative District No 11 State Senator -  Bob Hasegawa

Legislative District No 11State Representative Position 1  - David Hackney

Legislative District No 11 State Representative Position 2 - Steve Berquist

State Supreme Court Justice Position 2 - Sal Mungia  The other tight one, but the late ballots had it for Sal.

Superior Court Judge Position No 41 - Paul Crisalli

Kent School District No. 415 Proposition No. 1 Capital Projects and Technology Levy - Yes, much to my surprise. This one is razor-thin, and could flip back as we move to fruition. 

Final thoughts before we cover the Political Desk with a tarp for the winter? Well, Washington State did a fine job protecting itself from Washington DC. And if the new/old administration does half the things that they promised to do, there's going to be a lot of buyer's regret for the rest of the country. But that's the nature of democracy (see Brexit). In the land of Ivar's, we'll keep clam and carry on.

More, as always, later. 

Tuesday, October 29, 2024

The Political Desk: The Jeff Recommends

We're a week out. I've been covering politics and elections for twenty years now in this space, and realize that I've gotten more serious and less snarky over that time. It's something I'll have to work on (regaining my snark).

The press has been particularly frustrating this election season. Yes, I know about a couple major newspapers were cowed into submission by the GOP into "No Endorsements", but it goes deeper than that. The Seattle Times published it endorsements in the open, but its individual endorsement articles are behind a paywall (which is amusing since its endorsement of Bob Ferguson is a master class at timidity and praising with faint damns). The Stranger has just been purchased, and just fired its news editor, Rich Smith. And you would not know from the Kent Reporter that there even was an election (plus they soft paywall as well). Small sites tend to be more localized and partisan, and they still provide some good general data, but lot of old standbys have gone by the wayside. They will be missed. 

Here's an interesting comparison of Stranger vs. Seattle Times endorsements, for your edification and amusement.

I do stand by my opinion of the GOP's "Flood the Zone" approach of doing so much so badly that no one can keep up with their crimes and errors. We've seen a new accusation of sexual assault, the revelation that the impeached former president withheld funds for blue-state disasters, military threats against anyone that looks at the convicted felon funny, a couple mental meltdowns on sympathetic podcasts, and a Nazi-ish Madison Square Garden seeping with hatred and rage. And that's just been in the past week. Yeah, it's been taxing. I just do this thing once every four years and I'm exhausted.

And there has already shenanigans and low-level violence on the ground. Most of them have been GOP-related, and their argument that there is election fraud, and to prove it they will commit election fraud. There have been fights and threats. In Washington State, we've had some ballot boxes vandalized already, so now you have the added task of checking to make sure you ballot was received and counted. Because there are jagoffs out there.

AND you can find one of your nearby ballot drops and voting centers here, or you can mail it in. No postage necessary. The deadline is 8 PM November 5 for the drop boxes, postmarked Tuesday, 5 November for the mail ins. You can even register to vote and vote the same day at the voting centers. 

Anyway, summing up the past week of posts, I've put in a simple format for you. These are my endorsements and belong to me. Go fetch your mail-in ballot and take us across the finish line. As I've stated before, I don't care who you vote for. But I would want you to vote. 

The Heywood Initiatives: NO on all of these budget-busters:

NO to Initiative Measure No. 2066 - Supporting natural gas by preventing regulation that encourages other energy sources

NO to Initiative Measure No. 2109 - Repeal the Capital Gains tax on people much richer than you while killing funding for education.

NO to Initiative Measure No. 2117 - Destroying carbon tax credits and in doing so kill funding for transportation, energy conversations, and emissions-reduction.

NO to Initiative Measure No 2124 - Bankrupting our state-run long-term care insurance, because they can.

So NO on the bundle of them.

President: Kamala D. Harris and Tim Walz. I never realized I had more guts that Jeff Bezos. Learn something new every day).

US Senator - Maria Cantwell

US Representative Congressional District No. 9 - Adam Smith

Governor - Bob Ferguson

Lieutenant Governor - Denny Heck

Secretary of State - Steve Hobbs

State Treasurer - Mike Pellicciotti

Attorney General - Nick Brown

Commissioner of Public Lands - Dave Upthegrove

Superintendent of Public Instruction - Chris Reykdal

Insurance Commissioner - Patty Kuderer

Legislative District No 11 State Senator -  Bob Hasegawa

Legislative District No 11State Representative Position 1  - David Hackney

Legislative District No 11 State Representative Position 2 - Steve Berquist

State Supreme Court Justice Position 2 - Sal Mungia

Superior Court Judge Position No 41 - Paul Crisalli

Kent School District No. 415 Proposition No. 1 Capital Projects and Technology Levy - Yes. Put this long electoral nightmare out of our lives.

That's it for the pre-election write-ups. I'll do a follow-up with results a few days after the election (We're mail-in, remember, so it takes a while to get the results, and in some cases lead changes). Then we're back to talking about games. And theatre. And if you're very good, collectible quarters. See you next time.

More, of course, later.

Monday, October 28, 2024

The Political Desk: Getting Schooled

 OK, here we go again folks. 

Kent School District No, 315 Proposition No. 1 Capital Projects and Technology Levy is the fourth attempt to get money for the school buildings. Each one has gone down in flames, and each one has come back retooled, asking for less funds, being clear about what they're spending it on, and reducing the number of projects. The amount they're asking for is not excessive. I will note that this time they included an athletic field revision for Mill Creek school, which was one of the complaints of the No people the last few times. It's purely transactional, but it's politics. 

I'm not a big fan of replacing athletic fields, but I am a fan of roofing, building sidings, boilers, and emergency generators, along with upgrading their tech to modern levels. And this is a reduction on the property tax it replaces. So, I'm with YES

The No side is hauling out their standard scare tactics. Property taxes! Can't trust the school district to use the money like they said! What happened to the AC improvements? They dun the current measure for removing stuff that they complained and campaigned against last time. Pretty much they don't like the current Kent School District admin, and are willing the starve the schools until they get what they want (Accountability! is a great buzz-word. So is transparency, which they didn't use this time. 

There have been some yard signs around (YES for education!), but the local paper of record, the Kent Reporter, has been notably absent from the reporting on this. And it is the last thing on the ballot, separated as far as possible from the budget-busting initiatives at the front end. But hang out for the after-credits scene, here - and vote YES (Yep, I put it in bold twice).

More later, 

The Political Desk: Mild Court Press

Now I'm working more in the dark. There used to be a site called Voting for Judges which served as an excellent aggregator of  endorsements from the various groups interested in judges (like the various bar associations). That site is no longer in operation, and general political coverage tends to be a bit scattershot.

A lot of court positions are elected in Washington State this time, but the vast bulk of them are unopposed. So congrats to all the Justices who are lonely in their ballot box. I'm not going to do the research on you, not even for entertainment purposes. We have only two races that have any competition.

State Supreme Court, position 2 - The Seattle Times bemoans the fact that court positions are officially non-partisan, but the final choices are from a Democratic-supported candidate and a GOP-supported one. Because the position is non-partisan, but the candidates are not. Still, they (and 8 out of 9 other Supreme Court justices) support Sal Mungia, a lawyer out of Tacoma with a strong resume, solid endorsements from the legal community and a good track record on civil rights. OK, I can go for this. 

Superior Court Position 41 - Even less information than the State Supreme Court. The Times doesn't cover the race. The Stranger uses the space to mostly campaign against the established court system. Still, Paul M. Crisalli has gotten a hatfull of endorsements, including all the current State Supreme Court justices and 53 of his judicial colleagues on the King County Superior Court. So yeah, I can go for this.

More later, 

Sunday, October 27, 2024

The Political Desk: State Legislature

 This one is fairly short, in that there are no Republicans running here, and two out of the three positions don't even have competition. 

Legislative District 11 straddles I-5 and I-405 and stretches down to Panther Lake and Grubb Street - we're in the far SE corner. Bob Hasegawa is our incumbent State Senator and is running unopposed. David Hackney is the State Rep Position 1, and recently showed up in a Seattle Times article about crime (he's against it. He also supports Bob Ferguson's pitch to spend $100 million more on cops and public safety). He's also running unopposed. Steve Berquist is State Rep Position 2, has a secret identity as a school teacher, and is running against a Libertarian candidate. I'm recommending Berquist for the usual reasons (he's done a good job, particularly on education issues), but I'm pleased to see other parties running for office that are NOT the big tickets. Hey, they even have yard signs!

And that's it for local news. More later.

Saturday, October 26, 2024

The Political Desk: Statements on the State

 Now we're down to the state level. Washington State elects its entire executive branch every four years, so the potential for massive turnover is always there. However, the state's been doing pretty good, has recovered well from COVID, and regularly gets high marks in various ratings as to the health and well-being of its citizens. So yeah, I am up for the Democrats in general.

Governor - This is an open position with Jim Inslee choosing not to run for a fourth term (and that's a good thing, in my opinion). The Democratic candidate is current Attorney General Bob Ferguson, who has been an activist is protecting consumers in the state. He's gone after corporate shenanigans, took on pharmaceutic companies over fentanyl, cleared out the rape kit backlog, and been a bridle on Trumpian nonsense for the past four years. He has been an activist, aggressive, AG, and don't see that changing when he becomes governor. It is kinda amusing that a lot of positive political candidates come out of the AG offices these days, but that's probably a beard-stroking analysis for later. So, Bob Ferguson.

A positive word, though, about Dave Reichert, who is likely the best candidate the GOP has put up for the past twenty years. The former King County Sherriff, former US Rep, he was not endorsed by his own party because he wasn't crazy enough. He may or may not support Trump depending on who he's talking to but I will take him at his (current) word. But I am happy to not recommend him purely on his political views (Tried to defund Planned Parenthood, doesn't support marriage equality, anti-climate science). Of late, he's been making a case for divided government (even though that has been a mess at the national level). So, no thanks.

Lieutenant Governor - The Lieutenant Governor presides over the State Senate, and does more than a little nudging on its priorities (like the current housing crunch). This is the department of "Don't Mess Things Up".  And Danny Heck has succeeded admirably with not messing things up and actually moving the ball forward on things in a bipartisan fashion. So yeah, let's keep him.

Secretary of State - OK, I will be honest, I'm a strong supporter of Steve Hobbs. He has maintained the integrity of our election systems that Sam Reed and Kim Wyman had built up, and kept our elections free and fair. But he's also a gamer, and an extremely vocal one, and has pushed to protect small game stores and game producers, as well as expand RPGs in school libraries and prisons.. We've got a lot of small companies out here, and I appreciate the support. I did attend a fund-raiser for him at the Mox Boarding House, where he not only committed to his support for the industry, but also went into extreme gamerly detail on the cases that his staff have handled over the years (A student voting in two places, people who died between when they mailed their ballot and when it was counted). He did so with the pride of DM telling about you about his latest adventure. So yeah, Steve Hobbs

State Treasurer - Now we get into the more boring but just-as-important positions. Meat and potato stuff.  The ones that handle the money. The State Treasurer is the state's CFO, collects the cash and distributes is Mike Pellicciotti has done a bang-up job, such that people who rate us on our financial stability and such give us high marks. Moody's gives us a AAA rating, Standard and Poors gives us a AA+, and we have strong state pensions. Not bad. So, Mike Pellicciotti.

State Auditor - The treasurer spend the money, the auditor makes sure it is spent correctly. Auditor is a watchdog operation. These are the accountants looking over the books. Pat (Patrice) McCarthy has been an auditor for twenty years, starting with Pierce County, and has picked up the torch in 2017, and has done a good job, not only checking up on pandemic funding, but also uncovering fraud and waste in the government (like $7 million in misappropriated funds for a local housing agency). McCarthy has a earned the position.

Attorney General - With Ferguson running for governor, the AG is an open position, and there is a game of musical chairs. Nick Brown has risen to the top of that scuffle, and is an excellent candidate for the position. He was Inslee's General Counsel. He was the first Black US Attorney for the state. He's pushed hard on the fentanyl crisis, consumer protection, and sex trafficking. Pro choice, pro gun safety, pro-consumer. Brown has large shoes to fill, but I think he can pull it off. 

Commissioner of Public Lands - This race is another win/win for voters, in that both candidates are good. Jaime Herrera Beutler was both a State and US Rep. She also voted to impeach Trump on the second go-around, and the state party will never forgive her for that. Dave Upthegrove has botanical name and has been on the King County Council and a State Rep for a neighboring district. . Either could run our extensive state forest lands. The big diff is dealing with our mature legacy forests (Not the old growth, but stuff has hasn't been lumbered since WWII). Upthegrove supports keeping them intact, Beutler wants to let in the logging companies that have been funding her campaign. On the other hand, few year's back Upthegrove got shirty with some traditional enviros that supported someone else in the primary. So, jump ball on this one, but I'm still going to give the edge on policy to Dave Upthegrove.

Superintendent of Public Instruction - Chris Reykdal is the incumbent and has navigated the department through some really choppy water of later - the COVID pandemic being part of this. However, he's got the numbers back up to pre-COVID times, and we have more graduations than ever. Also, school meals, CTE training, retaining teachers, and improvements for rural schools. And he takes a hit every time people have to pay their property taxes. (Did I mentioned that paying for the kid's education is literally in our state constitution. Yeah, it is). Reykdal has also been a bulwark against conservative culture warriors and voucher advocates. So, yeah, I'm going with him.

Insurance Commissioner - The previous guy who held this job for many years turned out to be a jagoff and as such is not running for re-election. The Democratic party actually does that - it's an accountability thing. Republicans? He'd be on the conservative talk shows complaining about persecution, demanding a trial, then pushing it back as far as possible. But that's just a personal rant. Patty Kuderer is an excellent candidate to hold the position of wrangling our insurance industry. Her background is from the state legislature, where she's been active in employment discrimination, which makes her a good choice to help the office recover from its previous commissioner. She's pro-consumer protection , pro reproductive healthcare, and pro-transparency with the insurance companies. Yeah, let' give her a shot.

OK, this was a long one, but it is all downhill from here. More later. 

More later, 


Friday, October 25, 2024

The Political Desk: Congressfolk

 Let's look at Congress. We have two races on the ballot, one at the state level for Senator, and one for the 9th Congressional District. The 9th is a rough trapezoid with the corners at the International District in Seattle, Sammamish in the north, Auburn, and Federal Way in the south, and includes Mercer Island and Bellevue.  So yeah, a lot of people in a relatively small space.

Let's do Senator first. Maria Cantwell has done a real good job in her tenure, and I would normally recommend her to keep her job but as a matter of course. But I want to enthusiastically recommend her based on her performance this senatorial season. This has been first and foremost due to her pushing through the CHIPS and Science Act, which has encouraged semiconductor  research, development, in the states in the States. This act has seen amazing benefits already, and will continue help our home-grown computer chip industry. That's a good effort on her part, and a recommendation to keep her and encourage more of the same in the future.

The 9th Congressional District is in one of those really good positions with two good candidates. Adam Smith has been the House Rep within our ever-shifting borders for nearly thirty years now, and in his seniority has a good position as the Senior Democrat on the Armed Services Committee. He's done good work in that time. Melissa Chaudhry, on the other hand, is from the more progressive wing, and has extensive experience in charities and NGOs. I recommended Chaudhry in the primary as new blood, but I have to admit that Adam Smith is competent, capable, and has done a good job, which is one of my base-line requirements. So I'm telling you both candidates have merit, and you need to do a bit more digging to find out if you think they are worth voting for. Myself? Walking around both of them for a day or so, I have to go ultimately with Adam Smith. But I'm going to say this is going to be real close.

More later,

Wednesday, October 23, 2024

The Political Desk: Prez and Veep

 Kamala Harris/Tim Walz. Well, Duh.

I mean, seriously, I was going to vote for Biden anyway, even with the age issues. The current administration has spent the past four years digging out of the holes that the previous admin put us in, and has done an excellent job. Let's face it - the economy is better than most of Europe post-Covid. Stock market is up. Crime is (generally) down. Illegal immigration is down (but still there and still illegal). Inflation is really down (but still inflation). As legacies go, it's been pretty good.

And Kamala Harris has been there for the good stuff. Presiding over the Senate, she cast the deciding vote for the Inflation Reduction Act, and has helped with the recovery over the wishes of a brattish, do-nothing GOP. (The Republican-controlled House is the LEAST productive of any governing bodies since the 1960s, with the possible exception of ginning up investigations that do nothing but generate copy for FOX news). So yeah, she gets the credit for a good administration. 

But she isn't just a continuation, she's a Biden-Plus - the good stuff you've gotten as a result of the Great Recovery and her own plans for first-time homebuyers. Decriminalization of pot. Protection of women's rights. Cap insulin prices across the board. Expand the Earned Income Tax credit. If she gets a fragment of her plans enacted, she's doing pretty good.

She has a LOT of experience in all three branches of the government - Judicial (Attorney General of California), Legislative (Senator), and Executive (the current gig as Veep). The resume is pretty damned solid. And let's add to the fact that she's pretty much put together her organization in 100 days, and has exceeded the expectations of even Biden's team.

And then there are the endorsements. OK, you expect other leaders in your party to endorse you, but she has EVERYONE on her side and out there pulling for her, including a handful of former presidents. And the mass of entertainers, which is nice but not confirmative, in my opinion. The Insane Clown Posse like her. That's nice. Oh, and there is a group of Gamers for Harris, which is also nice but not confirmative for most people. I'm proud to have added my name to this list, by the way. So just so you know, I'm in the bag on this one. 

But what's interesting about endorsements is the number of name-level Republicans, government, and military folk that are supporting her. A lot of them have "former" and "retired" in their title (as in "can't punish me for speaking my mind"). A lot of them have had first-hand previous experience with the convicted felon that's her opponent, and they want nothing to do with him. But the big thing with these types of endorsements is this: You can still vote for Harris and be considered a good Republican. 

The other guy is, well, the other guy. He was the previous administration, and pretty much a complete collapse - screwing up COVID (while sending medical supplies to Putin), kowtowing to foreign authoritarians, threatening our own allies, running up the debt more than any other president, helping overturn Roe v. Wade. The wall that never got built, the infrastructure week that never happened, the replacement of the ACA that never occurred. Pretty much a dead loss as an administration. Mind you, he gives an entertaining speech, as he dances between subjects like a drunken badger on meth. Most of the people who worked for him are not supporting him, and many are publicly going for Harris. He does have his ardent supporters, who hope he hangs around long enough to pass some dreadful conservative legislation. They just want someone with a pulse. Though we don't know for sure because he won't share his medical records (Harris did, of course).

And he seems tired. Worn out. Non-linear. He says he's doing "the weave", and we just can't get the depths of his sagacity. He'll be claiming to do zen koans next. I feel real sorry for him, and I wonder why the mainstream media isn't talking more about Woodrow Wilson (who was incapacitated late in the administration, and access to him (and his decisions) was controlled by a small group of people). 

Eight years ago I put forward the idea that his approach was to "Flood the Zone" - say and do so much that is wrong that no one can keep up with you. Just keep piling crime upon crime, insult upon insult, weirdness on weirdness. Stage an embarrassing photo op at a closed MacDonald's? By the time people call you on it, you're out there talking about Arnold Palmer's junk. And while that is sinking in you mention how Hitler had the best generals. Because if you ever stop delaying and denying, the entire mass of insults and lies will collapse and crush you.

There are others running. Jill Stein and the Greens are running to deny Harris a majority, so then people will pay attention the THEIR issues (because that always worked in previous elections). RFK Jr is still on the ballot in Washington State because he didn't drop out fast enough, and will probably drain off some Republicans that can't bear to vote for the guy that promised RFK Jr a place in his administration. The rest are minor players in this particular passion play. Thanks for showing up.

But like I said, I was pleased to put my name on the list of Gamers for Harris, and declare my support. And I think she's going to be a great president.

More later, 

Tuesday, October 22, 2024

The Political Desk: Trolling for Initiatives

 TLDR: NO on everything. There. That makes it easy.

The top of the Washington State ballot is not the presidential race, but rather a collection of initiatives. The initiative process is a pretty cool thing that Washington State does, in that it provides an alternate method for passing law. We have the Legislature, but the initiative process allows citizens to propose and pass state law. It is a nice bit of direct democracy, but the system has some challenges and can be gamed.

The challenge is that you need to get a certain number of signatures to but it on the ballot - 8% of the total votes for Governor the last election. And given the population of the state, that comes to roughly 325,000 signatures this time around. Which means you need a lot of dedicated volunteers to gather those signatures, or paid signature-gatherers, or most likely both, in order to succeed. As a result, the initiative process is normally the domain of people with a lot of money and resources at hand. Initiative gadfly Tim Eyman made good book on monetizing the process with initiatives that rarely won, but almost never stood up in court. Eyman got himself in trouble skimming off the top of his fundraising, and is no longer active in the process.

So, this year we have a wealthy hedge-fund manager, Brian Heywood, who is fled California because of the taxes and wants to get rid of them here as well. He and his mob collected the requisite signatures and got initiatives on the ballot for six items. The Legislature has the option of just passing them right there, and three of them we passed without having to go to the voters. Then he added another one, so there are four measures on the ballot this time. And all of them involve saving money for the wealthy and gutting state funding, and leaving you with the bill. 

Here's the quick and dirty.

Initiative Measure No. 2066 wants to repeal laws controlling natural gas regulation and/or promoting electrification. Natural Gas is a big polluter, so I see the point in encouraging more electric power through inducements. But I am personally involved here in that we use gas for cooking and hot water here at Grubb Street, which has proved to be a good thing when the power goes out (windstorms give us about two outages a year). But a blanket measure that gives a blank check to the natural gas operations, effectively putting them above the law? Yeah, no. I'd rather see this one fought out in the Legislature one piece at a time. Vote NO.

Initiative Measure No. 2109 eliminates the Capital Gain tax. This is a tax that takes a small sliver of the earnings of the wealthy, which is why Heywood wants it gone. If your assets are below $250 million, it's a moot point (unless you're planning on winning the lottery soon). Cutting it guts funding for education, which is something we are required to fund (it is in the state constitution), and have been kinda half-assed over the years about doing it as it is. Vote NO

Initiative Measure No 2117 eliminates the carbon tax credits. Carbon tax credits are a method to (long-term) reduce pollutants. The government sells indulgences to organizations that are churning out pollutants, which range from big businesses to things like UW (steam heat). Over time, the amount of credits are reduced, encouraging folk to upgrade their systems to healthier alternatives. Killing the credits defunds transportation, clean air, renewable energy, conversation, and emission-reductions (I'm just quoting the initiative language, here). So NO on this one

Initiative Measure No. 2124 makes long-term care insurance optional. Affordable long-term care is a growing issue, such that even the national Democratic party thinks it is a good idea. Making it optional is a great invitation to making it useless, and with defund Washing's public insurance programs providing long-term care benefits and services. I've been kicking in to long-term care for a while now, and think its a pretty good thing. Vote NO.

Everything these initiatives attack are "eat your broccoli" laws, which is good for the long-term health of the people of Washington, but have a price tag on it. And the people behind these initiatives don't want to spend any of THEIR money on YOU. You aren't going to get much if these initiatives pass (No, your gas prices are NOT coming down as a result of these), and things will be just a little bit crappier around here with them in place.

More later, 


Monday, October 21, 2024

The Political Desk: Go Time

 OK, folks, it all comes down to this. Election Day. Early voting has already started in a lot of states, and the ballots are out for Washington State. This year is important. Every year is important.

(And my ballot arrived while I was out at GameHoleCon, and excellent convention in Madison, WI, so I'm getting a late start on it this year. The Lovely Bride has already voted, and I will drive her to one of the convenient nearby ballot boxes to drop her vote in).

I really don't care how you vote, but I want you to vote. I'm obvious in my political views, so you'll find few surprises in this I provide these recommendations in the hopes of creating an enlightened and aware set of voters. They haven't drifted that far from the primaries. What I really want is competence and ability. These are people we are trusting with our money, out safety, and sometimes our lives. So this is important. It's not a wedding proposal, it's not a Saturday night date - it's a job hire.

But I want you to vote, not just vote for what I recommend. I provide other people's endorsements as well, and I'll update them as I go forward. 

Here's the summarized endorsements from the Stranger, now under new management. The full endorsements are long and detailed and most of the candidates don't tick off all their boxes. That's the nature of life. 

Here's the Seattle Times' endorsements, who has been grudgingly dragged more centrist over the years. The Times and the Stranger have been drifting closer together as time goes by. 

There are others, with their own political interests. Washington Conservation Action is here. Progressive Blue Voteguide is here. The Urbanist is here. Crosscut/CascadePBS does a nice job summarizing the candidates and issues here. I will add more as I come across them.

I'm (politely) left of center. I'm going to be endorsing Democrats, which is a relatively easy thing to do in Western Washington. The GOP (nationally) is a bit of a snake pit, and even those that are not involved in some messy political stance or personal scandal are problematic because they DO support the folks who do..  

But ultimately, it's all up to you. Even not voting is a choice (though I'll admit that its a bad one).

This is your chance, people. Don't pass it by. Don't blow it. For folk in Washington State, or wherever early balloting is permitted, you have two weeks. For everyone else, get out on November 5th.

More later,

Tuesday, August 13, 2024

The Political Desk: Results

 Hey, wasn't there an election last week? What happened? Why so quiet?

Good question. And while I could blame a recent bout with Covid for my lack of response (and in fact, I will be blaming Covid for a number of things in the near future), I've pushed of reporting the results until I had more firmer ground to stand on. On of the things about Washington State elections is that we have all mail-in ballots. And while it a really convenient way to vote intelligently (you can do it at home, check out candidates on the internet, you can have wine while you're voting ...) it means that it takes a while for dust to settle. In particular since late votes can and do move the needle, particularly in close races.

And we had it happen in this case as well, so this is the most updated results, a week out. No promise that it won't shift a little more again. In general, Incumbents did well, Democrats did well. If someone has 50% plus, they're doing OK. 

Oh, and Boldface is used for the folk I recommended. 

US Senator: Marie Cantwell (58%) versus Dr. Raul Garcia (22%)

US Representative, 9th District: Adam Smith (54%) vs. Melissa Chaudry (21%) - This one is interesting as the Democratic incumbent is being challenged from the left as opposed to the right. Usually Smith is up against a conservative talk-show host. This one should prove interesting. 

Governor: Bob Ferguson (45%) vs. Dave Reichert  (27%) - Again, expected, but low totals for both, so both have work to do. The official State GOP-approved republican only got 10%.

Lt. Governor: Danny Heck (49%) vs. Dan Matthews (23%)

Secretary of State: Steve Hobbs (49%) vs. Dale Whitaker (36%)

Attorney General: Pete Serrano (42%) vs Nick Brown (36%) - The well-endorsed Brown has work to do, but the only other candidate in the race was another Democrat, who got 23% of the vote.

State Treasurer: Mike Pellicciotti (58%) vs. Sharon Hanel (41%) - only two candidates for the role. 

State Auditor: Pat (Patrice) McCarthy (59%) vs Matt Hawkins (41%)  - again, only two candidates. 

Commissioner of Public Lands: Jamie Herrera Butler (21.9%) vs, Dave Upthegrove (20.99%) This was a crowded field - 2 Republicans and 5 Democrats, and on election night the two GOP candidates (Butler and Sue Pederson) we ahead. Late votes tend to skew more left, but we still split among a number of candidates. Only over the weekend did Upthegrove catch and pass Pederson).  [Update: the final tally was close enough to require a hand recount (yeah, we have options for that), and UptheGrove took second by only 53 votes. And this is why you should always vote, folks.}

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Chris Reydal (39%) versus David Olson (31%)

Insurance Commissioner: Patty Kuderer (45%) vs. Phil Fortunato (29%) 

State Senator, District 11: Bob Hasegawa (95%) vs. no opponent 

State Representative, District 11: David Hackney (95%) vs. no opponent.

State Representative, District 11: Dave Berquist (80%) vs. Justin Greywolf (18%). Though the numbers are low, I'm glad to see the Libertarian wing fielding their own candidate. 

State Supreme Court: Sal Mungia (43%) vs. Dave Larsen (36%)

Final totals have a voting total of around 40%, which isn't horrible at all for a primary, but can always improve. We've managed to dodge the loonier candidates (some other parts of the state are not so lucky), and there I can vote against based on their positions as opposed to their propaganda. And with this, the Political Desk becomes as dormant as you lawn, currently, only to return with the rains in late October. 

More later, 

Sunday, July 28, 2024

The Political Desk: The Jeff Recommends

 Let me explain. No, there is too much. Let me sum up. 

The past few weeks have been interesting, politically. An assassination attempt, a stepping down, a stepping up, a convention, a former VP candidate and a weird VP candidate. Here we though things would be boring. And yet we have the same ballot, and the same deadline.  

My own notes started here, and include a lot of other links for people who want to dig deeper into matters. I just dropped off my own ballot at one of the many drop boxes throughout the county (I mean, it is SO easy to vote, more people should do it). Here are my recommendations. You can check out various entries elsewhere on the blog for details. 

US Senator: Marie Cantwell

US Representative, 9th District: Melissa Chaudry

Governor: Bob Ferguson

Lt. Governor: Danny Heck

Secretary of State: Steve Hobbs

Attorney General: Nick Brown

State Treasurer: Mike Pellicciotti

State Auditor: Pat (Patrice) McCarthy

Commissioner of Public Lands: Patrick DePoe

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Chris Reydal

Insurance Commissioner: Patty Kuderer

State Senator, District 11: Bob Hasegawa

State Representative, District 11: David Hackney

State Representative, District 11: Dave Berquist

State Supreme Court: Sal Mungia 

Like the line-up? Go vote. Think I'm full of beans? Go vote. Whatever you think, this is your chance to impact who we are voting for in November. You've got a week to make up your mind.

Go vote.

More later, 

 

Saturday, July 27, 2024

The Political Desk: Judgement Day

So, State Supreme Court Judges. We have one open slot  with multiple candidates this time, as Susan Owen must retire since she is over 75 (yes, we do that out here). Four contenders, each with their own take. All sound like solid, professional folks. Their write-ups are in the Voters guide, but Crosscut summarizes that and add material from other sources and their own interviews.

(And this is where I once regret the loss of Voting for Judges site and the Municipal League. Ah, well.)

OK, one more thing - if one candidate gets 50% plus, the get the job. No playoff round. But this time, given four candidates, that's unlikely. Here goes:

Todd A. Bloom comes out of private practice with 20+ years of experience and ten years as a tax attorney. He's running with the encouragement of the Washington State Bar Association Board of Governors. He didn't respond to Crosscut's questions. 

Sal Mungia is a litigator with 40+years of experience, and a lot of backing - 8 of the 9 current current justices, Gov. Inslee, the Stranger, and Candidate Bob Ferguson. He's successfully pitched changes to the state's jury selection process. He's got an impressive resume and an embarrassing amount of cash.

David R. Shelvey has the least experience of the group with 9 years as a lawyer and come primarily from the business side, as well as a radio personality. In his bio, he also mentions double-checking with God before making decisions.

Dave Larson comes from the Judge-side of the equation, with 16 years as a judge and 23 years as a trial attorney. He believes strongly is therapeutic sentencing, and many of the reforms have been made into law from the bench. 

Four pretty solid candidates, with a low (mostly) percentage of dog whistles. I would like to have to make the choice between Sal Mungia and Dave Larsen this fall. But force me into a corner, and I'll go with Sal Mungia.

And that wraps up my ballot. I will post a summary, and after the primary, post the results.

More later, 


Friday, July 26, 2024

The Political Desk: Our Boring Local Elections

I don't have much to say about the State Senators and Representatives races, because there isn't much of a race going on here. Grubb Street is located in Legislative District No. 11. The district curls around the southern end of Lake Washington, and represents most of Renton and chunk of Kent. We're in the lower right-hand corner of this ornate, crenelated district.

And we're kinda boring this time out. Our State Senator, Bob Hasegawa, is running unopposed, as is our State Representative Position No. 1, David Hackney. Lucky for us that they're good at their jobs. For Position #2, we have two candidates who are guaranteed to go on - Incumbent Dave Berquist and Libertarian Justin Greywolf. And I favor Dave Berquist in this one, but I do note that we have 28 people running for Governor, 24 of which are not going to get more than 1% of the vote. It is almost like most of the gubernatorial candidates are about sending in their resume to the largest number of people, and fewer want the experience and responsibility of smaller job.

And for the city of Kent? Nothing. Nada. Zip. OK, I can live with that. We've got enough on our plates right now. 

More later, 

Thursday, July 25, 2024

The Political Desk: The Rest of the State

 The entire State Government Executive Branch comes up for election this year. Here's what we got:

Lt. Governor: This role oversees the State Senate, breaks ties, and fills in for the Governor when he's out of town. While not overly powerful, it is probably one of the more colorful offices in the state, and its primary requirements are to not blow things up and not embarrass the voters. And we have had a spate of excellent Lt. Governors, even though the bar may seem low. The current one, Denny Heck, had an original campaign slogan ("Give Olympia Heck!") and has failed to blow things up or get himself immersed in scandal. This is job interview - he's fine. His likely competition is Dan Matthews, who is a bag of Trumpian dog-whistles. So yeah, Denny Heck.

Secretary of State is responsible for overseeing the elections, and I am very much in favor of Steve Hobbs, for no other reason that he plays table-top RPGs. He's been very supportive of D&D and the tabletop industry which is kinda a big deal out here, to the point of accompanying a trade delegation to Japan with some colleagues of mine. But that same favoritism also makes me look harder at what he's done in his time in office, and, yeah, he's actually a worthy successor to Kim Wyman in protecting our elections. Good job, Steve.

Attorney General: Nick Brown has copped endorsements from both the Times and the Stranger, and has the qualifications as a US District Attorney as well as a deep knowledge of navigating state law. Manka Dingra comes out of the criminal prosecutions, which is also excellent, and I would look forward to having the make the decision between the two in November. For the moment, go with Nick Brown

State Treasurer: Handles the money. Two candidates, so you'll be seeing them again. I lean towards Mike Pellicciotti. He's the incumbent, and has kept his domain scandal-free while pushing for more transparency. Not bade.

State Auditor: Keeps an eye on the folks handling the money. Again, two candidates, so you'll get Deja Vu when we hit November. I prefer the incumbent, Pat (Patrice) McCarthy. Actually, both these positions of Auditor and Treasurer are so boring (and so fore-gone) that none of the major news sources have weighed in on them. Really?

Commissioner of Public Lands: This position oversees our state forests, and concerns a lot about lumbering and wildfires. A lot of candidates here, but two stand out. Department of Natural Resources Director Patrick DePoe gets the Times' nod, while former (local) legislator Dave Upthegrove has ability dealing the legislature (plus, cool name for taking care of trees). I'd like see both of them on the ballot, but for the moment, I think Patrick DePoe will do an excellent job. 

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Chris Reydal is the incumbent. Has been doing a good job. Yeah, let's keep him.

Insurance Commissioner: Does what it says on the tin - oversees our sprawling insurance industry. Mike Kriedler has held the position for years, but is stepping down after it was revealed he wasn't particularly good to his employees. That's the thing about elections - you screw up, you lose your job. Refreshing, isn't it? Patty Kuderer comes out of the legislature, is pro-renter, pro-single-player healthcare, pro-consumer. Her chief opposition is a self-declared progressive but fundraises and votes Republican. OK, then. 

And that fills out the State Executive Positions. Yeah, I'm blowing through them at a good clip. More later. 


Wednesday, July 24, 2024

The Political Desk: Guv'nor

 There are 28 candidates on the ballot for Governor of Washington State. Of them, there are four that have any sense of support. Of those, it will be former King County Sheriff Dave Reichert versus Attorney General Bob Ferguson in the Finals. I'm calling it here.

Bob Ferguson has been a big noise for the past decade, an aggressive legal voice who has been fighting against corporate malfeasance and Trumpian nonsense. He's got the funding, the endorsements, and the attention. And yeah, he's got the proven competence to be Governor.

Mark Mullet, the other recognized Democrat, is frustrating. A moderate, he's got a good provenance as well (State Senator for a decade), as well as ground-level endorsements (local mayors, firefighters), but has just flamed out as far as the campaign is concerned. But, if you hate Ferguson, Mullet is a good alternative, and I would be very comfortable with a battle between the two in November. Such is unlikely, sadly.

Dave Reichert should also be doing better, though it is likely that he will be Ferguson's competition in the Big Show due to name recognition from his time as King County Sheriff a couple decades back (Yeah, I know, everyone is OLD. It's thing). But, he failed to get the endorsement of both his own party and of the Seattle Times, which has traditionally been in the tank for him. It seems that he was saying one thing to the Times in interviews, and something completely different to his supporters on the other side of the Cascades. Apparently they didn't like that much.

Semi Bird DID get the official GOP endorsement, and does embrace the Trumpian nonsense. He lost his job as a school board commissioner for opposing mask updates in a recall election, and in the GOP tradition has been failing upwards ever since. He also never mentioned he had an ancient criminal record (misdemeanor bank larceny, thirty years ago), which makes him a typical Republican candidate .

And the rest. As elsewhere, some are perennials, some are well-intentioned newcomers, some are single-issue candidates seeking to front their particular concerns/grind their proverbial axes. And there was some hijinks, in that a Republican operative went out and found some OTHER Bob Fergusons to run for office, in hopes of confusing the issue. And then bragged about it publicly. When it was pointed out that this was specifically a felony, his chosen candidates dropped out, and the GOP weasels complained about how unfair the system was that wouldn't let them cheat.

So yeah, Bob Ferguson for Governor.

More later, 

Tuesday, July 23, 2024

The Political Desk: National Offices

 Let's start at the top - US Senator and House of Representatives. Like the rest of the country, we get two Senators, and one is up for re-election. Our neck of the woods for the US House is District 9, a narrow district straddling Lake Washington with bits of Seattle and Bellevue, and running south to Federal Way.

Senator: Maria Cantwell has been our junior senator for 24 years now, and is still chugging away. She's one of the engines behind the CHIPS act that kept semiconductor jobs here in the US. Yeah, wonky stuff, but still effective. The other candidates on the list make it a point of pride to not have held a previously elected office, and run the gamut from the well-meaning to the regular also-rans to the ones desiring a soapbox (which is cool, since the bulk of them are underfunded, such that the Voters' Guide is the only place they can reach out). Her likely opposition is Dr. Raul Garcia who is ... not horrible in Republican terms. But yeah, Maria Cantwell for Senator.

US Representative: Adam Smith has been serving in Washington for longer than Ms. Cantwell, and has experience and incumbency on his side. Usually he emerges from these primaries with a conservative talk-show host challenging from the right and cruises to re-election. But this time, there is a viable and more liberal candidate available in Melissa Chaudry, who wowed the Stranger board with her depth and width of knowledge and proposals, and even got good marks from the Seattle Times.  Downside? She's light in elected experience. Smith, though, was one of the ones pushing for Biden step aside because of his age, a bold stance for someone approaching 60. So for the Primary, check out Melissa Chaudry.

More later, 

Monday, July 22, 2024

The Political Desk: The Primary Is Upon Us

 August 6th will be the Washington State Primary, and it will be a big one. We have a US Senator, US Rep, Various members of the State House, Governor, and the entire executive wing of the state government up for grabs. That's a lot. 

Making matters more complex, Washington State has a top-two election strategy. That depowers (somewhat) the traditional political parties, in that we have a general scrum of the position, and the top two-vote-getters, regardless of allegiance, go on to the main event in November.

It's not a bad system, but like all systems, it can be gamed. Assume you have two Republican candidates and four Democratic candidates vying for a particular office. Say that Dems and GOPs are split evenly. and each candidate gets an even share of their side. So your four Democrats get 12.5% of the vote, and the two Repubs get 25%. So you can end up with two Republican candidates on the final ballot. This sort of thing has happened in the past, and can happen again. 

Also, you the candidate can declare your party own allegiance (referred to as "Preference") as you the candidate sees fit. So we usually have a party-approved candidate and not party-approved candidates flying under the same banner, and occasionally people sailing under false flags. You can also create your own party, so we see a lot of ... creative ... names for parties over the years. There is a lot of potential for shenanigans here, but more of that when we get to the Governor's race.

Two large matters loom over this primary which are not on the ballot. One is a set of cynical initiatives launched by some conservatives to help their main investors (the wealthy) at the expense of everybody else (that would be you). These initiatives are not on the ballot, but will be there in the fall. For the moment, we can put it aside, but the prime reason for these initiatives is to get out the vote on the conservative side, in hopes of it helping more conservative candidates. 

The other large matter is the Presidential race. At the time of this writing, the ballot will be most likely Vice President Kamala Harris versus Former President/Convicted Felon Trump. The former is taking over for President Biden due to inner party doubts about his age and health. The latter also has concerns about age and health, and in addition is an anchor around the neck of every Republican candidate, since they can endorse Trump and have people laugh at them every time they say "Law and Order", or they can distance themselves from Trump and  have the right-wing chunk of the party turn on them. Or they can be vewy, vewy quiet, which seems to be the course in general. Yet that's going to have an impact of this vote as well.

The Washington State Voter's Guide for King County is here. The Seattle Times has been doing its due diligence here, and has surprisingly swung more liberal/center than normal. The Stranger has grumped its way through the candidates, disappointed that they don't check all their required boxes. The Urbanist, talks about a lot of races I don't cover here, and refuses to recommend any candidate that did not meet with them (which is fair). The Cascade Advocate (a progressive blog) has an article comparing The Stranger and Times lists, and finds that they mostly agree. The Washington State Standard summarizes some of the races here, but does not make specific recommendations. Voting for Judges and the Municipal League sites, previously good places for info, are now shut down and available from GoDaddy.

Since this is a top-two primary system, I will be sometimes mentioning a second-choice as well. The Political Desk tends to lean left, but ultimately I want competent people in office. Elections are not a beauty contest or a two-team game, though there are components of both those things. It's a job interview - yeah, imagine that you have to re-interview for YOUR job every two/four/six years.   

Usually, I do a deep dive on these, giving even the minor candidates their time in the spotlight. This time, not so much. I've got a convention looming at the end of the month (GenCon) and don't have much time to savor the races. Some races are pretty obvious, some are going to very interesting. So when you hear the bell, turn over your papers and begin. 

More later,